Well, there were a few surprises and a few *snubs* as usual ... I haven't seen everything yet, but I have seen a lot, so here's my take:

Best Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
With the exception of Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close (what were they thinking??), this list was pretty much a lock. I'd love to have seen 50/50, Drive, The Beaver or Attack the Block break in, though I knew they had no shot (though they were my personal faves). I'd pick Moneyball, but I think The Artist will take it ... and I liked that film quite a bit, too.

Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Again, not many surprises here. Hazanavicius will probably take it, and it will be a worthy choice.

Best Actor
Demián Bichir, A Better Life (haven't seen it)
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
It's Clooney's to lose, but of this list, I'd pick Brad Pitt or Jean Dujardin. In reality, I'd have loved it if Joseph Gordon Levitt would have gotten in for 50/50, Ryan Gosling for Ides of March, or Mel Gibson for The Beaver (he's amazing in that film, regardless of his personal issues). I saw Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy and liked it but found it so forgettable that I am surprised Oldman got a nod, though he was good. Michael Fassbender had a lot of buzz for Shame, but I haven't seen that yet either.

Best Actress
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (haven't seen it)
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (haven't seen it)
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn (haven't seen it)
I think Streep is a lock, unfortunately. Of this list, I'd pick Viola Davis, though admittedly this is one category I need to see more films in. But I certainly would have put Tilda Swinton for We Need To Talk About Kevin (as she is supposed to be amazing) and Charlize Theron in Young Adult on this list ... she was really good.

Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn (haven't seen it)
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Max von Sydow, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
This is the most screwed up category, IMHO, though it doesn't matter because Christopher Plummer is a lock. He was really good, but Albert Brooks in Drive, Patton Oswalt in Young Adult and Alan Rickman in Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II should all be on this list. I liked Jonah Hill and Nick Nolte a lot, but I'd bump them and definitely Max Von Sydow!

Best Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (haven't seen it)
Octavia Spencer, The Help
I think I am the only one who HATED Melissa McCarthy and Bridesmaids in general, so I just don't get a nod for her. The rest are right on, and I'd pick Jessica Chastain myself, though I think Octavia Spencer will win. But I'd probably replace McCarthy with Anna Kendrick in 50/50.

Best Original Screenplay
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Annie Mumolo and Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
J.C. Chandor, Margin Call
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Seriously, no nod for 50/50 here hurts my soul a little! Everyone should watch that film! But I think Woody Allen will take this one.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Alexander Payne, Jim Rash, and Nat Faxon, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
George Clooney, Grant Heslov, and Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
Peter Straughan and Bridget O’Connor, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
I hope Moneyball takes it. Seriously, it takes a lot to make a movie about baseball and statistics interesting!

I have a few more films I want to see before the Oscars, but overall, I think it was a fairly weak year for films. The ones I absolutely LOVED were some of the smaller films that just don't get recognized. There were a lot of movies I LIKED, though.

Now on to the fashion!